Coefficient of variation of P-wave duration measured using an automated measurement system predicts recurrence of atrial fibrillation

Background: P-wave parameters representing atrial conduction heterogeneity are associated with recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) after catheter ablation. However, intra- and inter-observer variabilities are unavoidable during manual measurement of P-wave parameters. Methods: The study included 201 patients with paroxysmal AF who underwent catheter ablation. P-wave duration (PWD) was measured using a computerized automated measurement system with a surface 12-lead electrocardiogram. The coefficient of variation of PWD (CV-PWD) across the 12 electrocardiographic leads was determined as an index of atrial conduction heterogeneity. Results: AF did not recur in 157 (78%) patients during a 12-month follow-up period. CV-PWD assessed before catheter ablation was not different between the AF-recurrent and AF-free groups (0.069 ± 0.023 vs. 0.069 ± 0.023, P = 0.090). However, CV-PWD measured after catheter ablation was significantly larger in the AF-recurrent group than in the AF-free group (0.090 ± 0.037 vs. 0.073 ± 0.024, P < 0.001). In receiver operating curve analysis, CV-PWD assessed after catheter ablation achieved an area under the curve of 0.702; the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 68%, 69%, 38%, and 88%, respectively, for the cut-off value of 0.080. During the follow-up period, AF freedom rates of high CV-PWD patients (CV-PWD ≥ 0.080) and low CV-PWD patients (CV-PWD < 0.080) were 65% and 88%, respectively. Conclusions: CV-PWD determined using an automated measurement system was associated with AF recurrence after catheter ablation in patients with paroxysmal AF.